World cup 2022 Quarter-finals predictions
Dec 8, 2022
Only eight countries are left
Another quick update with the predictions for the quarter-finals. The calculations remain the same.
Recap (again)
In the previous blogs we have created three different strategies:
- Predict the most common outcome overall, meaning 1–0 or 0–1 only
- Predict the most likely outcome according to a probability density function
- Predict the outcome with the highest expected value
Predictions
Below are the predictions for the upcoming quarter-finals.
This time, our predictions differ a bit more, including three out of eight predictions with a tie.
The predictions that are not the same in all strategies are shown in bold.
